Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo MusettiVienna Semi-final

Vienna · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Zverev A.
6-4 7-5
Musetti L.
Zverev A.
672
Musetti L.
450

Alexander Zverev defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 7-5 in the Vienna semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, defending last year's quarter-final. Alexander Zverev narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersQFclayLorenzo Musetti7-6(1) 6-4
2024-10-21ViennaQFhardLorenzo Musetti2-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayLorenzo Musetti7-5 7-5
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev6-3 1-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Musetti L.
71
Serve
54
42
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (110 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Slight edge
90
82
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+238 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1804
6.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1869
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.8
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
39

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%