Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo SonegoUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLLWW
3 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 2 September 2026 ·
hard
#89ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Zverev A.
6-4 3-6 6-7 7-5 6-4
Sonego L.
Zverev A.
6367763
Sonego L.
4679542

Alexander Zverev defeated Lorenzo Sonego in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 7-5, 6-4. Zverev hit 12 aces and 8 double faults, converting 23% of break points, and securing 5 service breaks, compared to Sonego's 16 aces, 4 double faults, 60% break point conversion, and 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexander Zverev closed it out in five sets, 6–4 3–6 6–7 7–5 6–4.

Head to head

70
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-25BeijingR32hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3
2025-06-16HalleR16grassAlexander Zverev3-6 6-4 7-6
2024-06-17HalleR16grassAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6
2024-01-01United CupRRhardAlexander Zverev6-7 6-3 6-4
2023-12-30United CupRRhardAlexander Zverev6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiQFhardAlexander Zverev7-5 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.1
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
47
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
89
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
51
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Zverev A.95%
Sonego L.5%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zverev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+340 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1702
9.8Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1719
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
H2H
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
47
63

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 167 games (7d) · Sonego L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 83 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw