Daniil Medvedev vs Lorenzo SonegoParis Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Medvedev D.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Sonego L.
Medvedev D.
37762
Sonego L.
66541

Daniil Medvedev defeated Lorenzo Sonego 3-6 7-6 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26DubaiR16hardDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-3 6-3
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR32clayDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-2
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R32hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(6) 2-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Sonego L.
47
Serve
41
94
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.0
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
69
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+261 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1702
8.1Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1719
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.3
Minutes 14d
5.3
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
72

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sonego L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%