Alexander Zverev vs Tallon GriekspoorMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#69ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLWLL
Zverev A.
vs
Griekspoor T.

Alexander Zverev faces Tallon Griekspoor in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Alexander Zverev holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 9–2, a roughly 270-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Zverev A.92%
Griekspoor T.8%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zverev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
16 common opponents · Zverev A. 21–10 · Griekspoor T. 7–9
Griekspoor T. better · same surface, 19 days apart · ⚠ retirement-shortened match
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.3+265 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1776
8.9Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1789
7.2Leads 4–1 on hard
H2H
2.8Trails 1–4 on hard
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

51 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
31%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.1
8.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving98% hold

wins 79% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Griekspoor T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
62
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
89
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Griekspoor T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

92
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05United CupRRhardAlexander Zverev7-5 6-0
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayAlexander Zverev6-4 3-0
2025-04-14MunichQFclayAlexander Zverev6-7 7-6 6-4
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardTallon Griekspoor4-6 7-6 7-6
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev7-6 6-3
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev7-6 2-6 7-6
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayAlexander Zverev3-6 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-6
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev7-6 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersR64hardAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6
2023-02-13RotterdamR16hardTallon Griekspoor4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassAlexander Zverev6-3 6-4 6-1

Draw