Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco CerundoloRome Masters Round of 32

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 10 May 2026 ·
clay
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Musetti L.
7-6 6-4
Cerundolo F.
Musetti L.
762
Cerundolo F.
640

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7-6 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16, but Lorenzo Musetti had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Lorenzo Musetti narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-21Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs ARGRRhardFrancisco Cerundolo6-4 6-1
2024-07-22UmagFclayFrancisco Cerundolo2-6 6-4 7-6(5)
2022-07-18HamburgSFclayLorenzo Musetti6-3 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Musetti L.Cerundolo F.
35
Serve
23
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
88
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
82
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Even
95
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0Clay Elo 1853
Surface ELO
4.0+16 Clay Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1931
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
6.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 69%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final