Francisco Cerundolo vs Lorenzo MusettiDavis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs ARG Round Robin

Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs ARG · ATP · Round Robin
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 21 November 2024
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Cerundolo F.
6-4 6-1
Musetti L.
Cerundolo F.
662
Musetti L.
410

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-1 in the Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs ARG round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Francisco Cerundolo narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-10Rome MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti7-6 6-4
2024-07-22UmagFclayFrancisco Cerundolo2-6 6-4 7-6(5)
2022-07-18HamburgSFclayLorenzo Musetti6-3 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cerundolo F.Musetti L.
13
Serve
54
67
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
89
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Even
86
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.6+77 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Hard Elo 1804
4.3Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Cerundolo F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About