

Rafael Jodar defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the quarterfinals of the Washington tournament, prevailing 1-6, 6-1, 6-4. Jodar served five aces to Musetti's three and converted three service breaks to Musetti's two. He also had a higher first-serve win percentage, at 77 to 72.
Musetti returns to competition after thigh injury kept him sidelined since May, facing steep step up against in-form Jodar.
Musetti is easing back onto the tour after missing Roland-Garros and Wimbledon due to injury, with health remaining a consistent concern despite top-10 talent when fit.
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | R32 | hard | Rafael Jodar | 6-4 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Jodar R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 86 games (7d) · Musetti L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About