Lorenzo Musetti vs Luciano DarderiShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#16ATP
1835ELO
1678Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Musetti L.
7-5 7-6
Darderi L.
Musetti L.
7772
Darderi L.
5610

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Luciano Darderi 7-5 7-6 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR64grassLorenzo Musetti6-4 4-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Darderi L.

Darderi L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve advantage — Musetti L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Darderi L.
54
Serve
21
62
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.5
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
78
Break points saved·Even
98
94
Break points won·Dominant
82
50
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
93
Tiebreaks·Even
95
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+125 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1678
7.4Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1835
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Darderi L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%