Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael JodarRome Masters Round of 32

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 10 May 2026 ·
clay
#25ATP
1999ELO
1949Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Arnaldi M.
1-6 6-4 3-6
Jodar R.
Arnaldi M.
1631
Jodar R.
6462

Rafael Jodar defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-1 4-6 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25.

Key context

  • Match story: Rafael Jodar came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Jodar R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaldi M.Jodar R.
Serve
60
Return
85

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
91
Break points won·Clear edge
51
71
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1830
Surface ELO
7.5+119 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1999
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
8.5
10.011-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
6.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
85

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 95%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final