Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert HurkaczMadrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#14ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
#68ATP
1798ELO
1762Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Musetti L.
6-4 7-6
Hurkacz H.
Musetti L.
6772
Hurkacz H.
4640

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 7-6 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, defending last year's semi-final. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR32grassHubert Hurkacz7-6(4) 6-4 6-4
2022-02-07RotterdamR16hardLorenzo Musetti6-3 5-7 6-3
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassHubert Hurkacz6-4 7-6(5) 6-1
2021-05-10Rome MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 2-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Musetti L.Hurkacz H.
35
Serve
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
12.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
78
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
82
40
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+90 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1762
6.8Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1798
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Hurkacz H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%