Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Hubert Hurkacz
POL17
Hubert Hurkacz
#96ATP
1798ELO
1700Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA14
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1750Grass ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Hurkacz H.
7-6 6-4 6-4
Musetti L.
Hurkacz H.
77663
Musetti L.
64440

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-6 6-4 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 128. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 7-6(4)
2022-02-07RotterdamR16hardLorenzo Musetti6-3 5-7 6-3
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassHubert Hurkacz6-4 7-6(5) 6-1
2021-05-10Rome MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 2-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Hurkacz H.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hurkacz H.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
40
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hurkacz H.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Musetti L.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1700
Surface ELO
6.5+51 Grass Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1869
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
4.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
6.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hurkacz H.Musetti L.
Freshness·
68
—

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djokovic N.[7]
1-67-666-13-66-4
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Medvedev D.[8]
6-36-36-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Sinner J.[1]
6-36-47-64
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Safiullin R.
6-43-66-26-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Rublev A.[12]
4-66-16-46-3
Medvedev D.[8]
Eubanks C.
6-41-64-67-646-1
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rune H.[6]
7-636-46-4
R16
Safiullin R.
Shapovalov D.[26]
3-66-36-16-3
Sinner J.[1]
Galan D.
7-646-46-3
Rublev A.[12]
Bublik A.[10]
7-56-36-766-756-4
Djokovic N.[7]
Hurkacz H.[17]
7-667-665-76-4
Rune H.[6]
Dimitrov G.
3-67-667-646-3
Medvedev D.[8]
Lehecka J.[13]
6-46-2
Eubanks C.
Tsitsipas S.[5]
3-67-643-66-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Berrettini M.
3-66-36-36-3
R32
Eubanks C.
Oconnell C.
7-657-637-62
Safiullin R.
Pella G.
7-616-46-0
Rune H.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
6-34-63-66-47-68
Sinner J.[1]
Halys Q.
3-66-26-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Goffin D.
6-36-767-656-2
Bublik A.[10]
Marterer M.
6-46-17-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Wawrinka S.
6-36-17-65
Lehecka J.[13]
Paul T.[21]
6-27-626-756-796-2
Medvedev D.[8]
Fucsovics M.
4-66-36-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Tiafoe F.[17]
6-26-36-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Jarry N.[25]
6-36-766-37-5
Berrettini M.
Zverev A.[2]
6-37-647-65
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Djere L.
6-47-656-4
Galan D.
Ymer M.
6-26-727-653-66-1
Shapovalov D.[26]
Broady L.
4-66-27-57-5
Hurkacz H.[17]
Musetti L.[14]
7-646-46-4
R64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Stricker D.
7-6116-46-2
Safiullin R.
Moutet C.
7-56-37-64
Zverev A.[2]
Watanuki Y.
6-45-76-26-2
Berrettini M.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-36-46-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-12-66-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-26-26-2
Paul T.[21]
Raonic M.
6-47-646-746-4
Eubanks C.
Norrie C.[26]
6-33-66-27-63
Djere L.
Shelton B.[4]
3-66-37-656-3
Sinner J.[1]
Schwartzman D.
7-56-16-2
Ymer M.
Fritz T.[6]
3-62-66-36-46-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Thompson J.
6-37-647-5
Medvedev D.[8]
Mannarino A.
6-36-37-65
Oconnell C.
Vesely J.
6-37-56-4
Galan D.
Otte O.
6-33-66-37-63
Musetti L.[14]
Munar J.
6-46-36-1
Jarry N.[25]
Kubler J.
7-55-76-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Muller A.
6-47-626-3
Dimitrov G.
Ivashka I.
6-36-46-4
Rune H.[6]
Carballes Baena R.
6-37-636-4
Fucsovics M.
Giron M.
7-626-34-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Murray A.
7-636-724-67-636-4
Halys Q.
Vukic A.
6-36-16-4
Pella G.
Mayot H.
2-66-37-637-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Barrere G.
6-36-47-67
Broady L.
Ruud C.[11]
6-43-64-66-36-0
Rublev A.[12]
Karatsev A.
6-746-36-47-5
Goffin D.
Barrios Vera T.[20]
7-635-76-26-0
Bublik A.[10]
Wolf J.
6-37-656-0
Marterer M.
Mmoh M.
7-57-656-4
Wawrinka S.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-34-66-46-2
Hurkacz H.[17]
Choinski J.
6-46-47-63
R128
Barrios Vera T.[20]
Baez S.
7-673-66-37-62
Choinski J.
Lajovic D.
5-77-646-26-2
Djere L.
Cressy M.
6-757-637-687-67
Vesely J.
Korda S.[22]
7-674-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Novak D.
6-756-47-656-1
Safiullin R.
Bautista Agut R.[20]
2-67-676-746-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Mcdonald M.
6-736-46-46-4
Muller A.
Rinderknech A.[25]
7-651-66-36-4
Kubler J.
Humbert U.[27]
6-44-66-23-66-3
Zverev A.[2]
Brouwer G.
6-47-647-65
De Minaur A.[5]
Coppejans K.
6-756-36-37-62
Dimitrov G.
Shimabukuro S.
6-16-26-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Fils A.[20]
7-636-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-706-36-46-4
Medvedev D.[8]
Fery A.
7-56-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Ofner S.
6-46-46-4
Paul T.[21]
Mochizuki S.
7-56-36-1
Norrie C.[26]
Machac T.
6-34-66-16-4
Fritz T.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-42-64-67-56-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Cachin P.
6-36-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
Daniel T.
6-46-33-64-66-3
Thompson J.
Nakashima B.[28]
2-62-66-47-646-3
Ruud C.[11]
Lokoli L.
6-15-76-46-3
Mayot H.
Bonzi B.
6-36-47-5
Stricker D.
Popyrin A.
3-66-36-24-67-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Chardy J.
6-06-27-5
Jarry N.[25]
Cecchinato M.
4-66-26-46-1
Watanuki Y.
Huesler M.
6-755-77-657-636-3
Berrettini M.
Sonego L.
6-756-37-676-3
Tiafoe F.[17]
Wu Y.
7-646-36-4
Ivashka I.
Coria F.
4-66-46-36-0
Van De Zandschulp B.
Zhang Z.
2-67-637-663-66-2
Rune H.[6]
Loffhagen G.
7-646-36-2
Mannarino A.
Shevchenko A.
6-36-36-2
Giron M.
Dellien H.
7-626-46-4
Fucsovics M.
Griekspoor T.[28]
6-46-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Borges N.
5-76-36-36-4
Eubanks C.
Monteiro T.
4-67-57-56-3
Oconnell C.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-44-66-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Thiem D.
3-67-616-26-757-68
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo J.
6-26-26-2
Schwartzman D.
Kecmanovic M.
6-06-36-4
Vukic A.
Altmaier D.
6-37-613-67-5
Halys Q.
Evans D.[27]
6-26-36-756-4
Galan D.
Nishioka Y.[24]
6-46-36-3
Otte O.
Koepfer D.
7-56-37-69
Ymer M.
Molcan A.
6-36-36-4
Pella G.
Coric B.[13]
6-37-54-63-66-1
Moutet C.
Gasquet R.
6-37-57-5
Shapovalov D.[26]
Albot R.
5-76-46-26-2
Barrere G.
Harris L.
7-56-747-56-3
Broady L.
Lestienne C.
6-16-37-5
Rublev A.[12]
Purcell M.
6-37-56-4
Karatsev A.
Van Assche L.
6-746-46-26-4
Goffin D.
Marozsan F.
6-25-76-26-0
Wolf J.
Couacaud E.
7-56-37-64
Marterer M.
Gojo B.
7-56-786-36-4
Mmoh M.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-646-747-646-4
Musetti L.[14]
Varillas J.
6-36-17-5
Munar J.
Isner J.
4-66-36-46-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-755-76-36-47-5
Wawrinka S.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-57-56-4
Hurkacz H.[17]
Ramos A.
6-16-46-4
Murray A.
Peniston R.
6-36-06-1