Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert HurkaczRotterdam Round of 16

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 February 2022
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Musetti L.
6-3 5-7 6-3
Hurkacz H.
Musetti L.
6562
Hurkacz H.
3731

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-3 5-7 6-3 in the Rotterdam round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–3.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 7-6(4)
2023-07-03WimbledonR32grassHubert Hurkacz7-6(4) 6-4 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassHubert Hurkacz6-4 7-6(5) 6-1
2021-05-10Rome MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 2-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Hurkacz H.
54
Serve
67
62
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
13.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
78
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
82
40
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+77 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1727
6.8Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1798
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
68

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 73%