Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo MusettiWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#96ATP
1798ELO
1700Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 June 2021
grass
#15ATP
1869ELO
1750Grass ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Hurkacz H.
6-4 7-6 6-1
Musetti L.
Hurkacz H.
67763
Musetti L.
46510

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 7-6 6-1 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Hubert Hurkacz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 7-6(4)
2023-07-03WimbledonR32grassHubert Hurkacz7-6(4) 6-4 6-4
2022-02-07RotterdamR16hardLorenzo Musetti6-3 5-7 6-3
2021-05-10Rome MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 2-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
40
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1700
Surface ELO
6.5+51 Grass Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
68

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 79%
R128
Anderson K.
Barrios Vera T.[20]
6-746-46-47-64
Martinez P.[19]
Travaglia S.[16]
6-32-66-46-4
Murray A.
Basilashvili N.[6]
6-46-35-76-3
Lajovic D.
Simon G.
6-47-53-64-66-3
Djokovic N.[7]
Draper J.
4-66-16-26-2
Seppi A.
Sousa J.
4-66-47-56-2
Shapovalov D.[10]
Kohlschreiber P.
6-44-66-35-76-4
Khachanov K.[19]
Mcdonald M.
3-66-36-47-63
Tiafoe F.[17]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
6-46-46-3
Otte O.
Rinderknech A.[25]
4-66-36-26-7513-122
Thompson J.
Ruud C.[11]
7-667-632-62-66-2
Kyrgios N.
Humbert U.[27]
6-44-63-66-19-7
Fritz T.[6]
Nakashima B.[28]
7-53-66-47-5
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.
6-36-46-1
Norrie C.[26]
Pouille L.
6-767-56-27-5
Bublik A.[10]
Kukushkin M.
6-46-26-1
Medvedev D.[8]
Struff J.
6-46-14-67-63
Kudla D.
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
5-74-67-646-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Monteiro T.
6-36-36-3
Federer R.[6]
Mannarino A.
6-46-733-66-20-0
Rublev A.[12]
Delbonis F.
4-66-46-16-2
Garin C.[17]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-766-33-66-36-2
Polmans M.
Lu Y.
6-27-54-66-1
Schwartzman D.[9]
Paire B.
6-36-46-0
Monfils G.[13]
Oconnell C.
4-66-27-654-66-4
Broady L.
Cecchinato M.
6-36-46-0
Vesely J.
Hanfmann Y.
6-17-57-65
Fucsovics M.
Sinner J.[1]
5-76-37-56-3
Fognini F.[26]
Ramos A.
7-646-26-4
Djere L.
Cuevas P.
5-76-46-46-4
Harris L.
Berankis R.
6-36-47-66
Pospisil V.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-36-3
Gerasimov E.
Clarke J.
6-33-67-656-2
Evans D.[22]
Lopez F.
7-646-27-5
Hoang A.
Zhang Z.
4-67-656-756-36-2
Korda S.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-36-46-757-65
Andujar P.
Herbert P.
7-674-67-675-78-6
Koepfer D.
Opelka R.[27]
6-47-636-2
Kwon S.
Masur D.
6-726-36-46-4
Kecmanovic M.
Bagnis F.
6-43-66-37-61
Bautista Agut R.[8]
Millman J.
6-23-66-37-64
Berrettini M.[7]
Pella G.
6-43-66-46-0
Van De Zandschulp B.
Barrere G.
6-26-746-17-63
Bedene A.
Moutet C.
6-46-46-0
Nishioka Y.
Isner J.[28]
7-652-66-36-736-4
Chardy J.
Karatsev A.[20]
7-647-666-3
Ivashka I.
Munar J.
6-17-57-65
Nishikori K.
Popyrin A.
6-46-46-4
Ymer M.
Tsonga J.
7-56-745-76-46-3
Mager G.
Londero J.
7-636-04-66-3
Johnson S.
Novak D.
7-676-27-5
Sandgren T.
Gombos N.
6-46-756-16-3
Gasquet R.
Sugita Y.
7-644-66-26-1
Galan D.
Coria F.
6-44-67-57-5
Duckworth J.
Albot R.
6-46-46-1
Querrey S.
Carreno Busta P.[11]
7-666-47-5
Bolt A.
Krajinovic F.
7-656-47-5
Hurkacz H.[14]
Musetti L.
6-47-656-1
Giron M.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-42-66-20-66-4
Sonego L.[23]
Sousa P.
6-27-56-0
Dimitrov G.
Verdasco F.
3-66-36-46-4
Cilic M.[32]
Caruso S.
7-657-616-1
Bonzi B.
Trungelliti M.
6-11-64-66-36-4
Alcaraz C.
Uchiyama Y.
6-36-746-23-66-3