Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor FritzAustralian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Musetti L.
6-2 7-5 6-4
Fritz T.
Musetti L.
6763
Fritz T.
2540

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Taylor Fritz 6-2 7-5 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, defending last year's round of 32. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in three sets, 6–2 7–5 6–4.

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 7-5
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassLorenzo Musetti3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 3-6 6-1
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-4
2022-11-24Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs USARRhardTaylor Fritz7-6(8) 6-3
2022-06-27WimbledonR128grassTaylor Fritz6-4 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Fritz T.
54
Serve
76
62
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
16.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
87
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
82
60
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1804
Surface ELO
5.3+35 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1909
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
4.8
4.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
57

Fritz T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%
R128
Borges N.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
3-66-46-40-0
Alcaraz C.[1]
Walton A.
6-37-626-2
Maestrelli F.
Atmane T.
6-43-66-746-16-1
Mensik J.[16]
Carreno Busta P.
7-54-62-67-616-3
Gea A.
Lehecka J.[17]
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Duckworth J.
Prizmic D.
7-643-61-67-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-23-64-66-36-4
Vacherot V.[30]
Damm M.
6-46-46-4
Shelton B.[8]
Humbert U.
6-37-627-65
Basavareddy N.
Oconnell C.
4-67-676-736-26-3
Opelka R.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-46-36-4
Sinner J.[2]
Gaston H.
6-26-10-0
Musetti L.[5]
Collignon R.
4-67-637-53-2
Shapovalov D.[21]
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-636-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Misolic F.
6-26-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Svajda Z.
7-54-66-47-63
Hijikata R.
Mannarino A.
6-36-36-1
Munar J.
Svrcina D.
3-66-26-757-56-3
Moutet C.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-47-616-3
Fucsovics M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-656-16-2
Halys Q.
Tabilo A.
6-26-27-62
Fery A.
Cobolli F.[20]
7-616-46-1
Sweeny D.
Monfils G.
6-737-56-47-5
De Minaur A.[6]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-26-3
Machac T.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-46-3
Darderi L.[22]
Garin C.
7-657-57-63
Djokovic N.[4]
Martinez P.
6-36-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Michelsen A.
4-66-46-35-76-3
Quinn E.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-26-36-2
Tirante T.
Vukic A.
7-56-26-2
Faria J.
Blockx A.
6-33-66-36-4
Bublik A.[10]
Brooksby J.
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Spizzirri E.
Fonseca J.[28]
6-42-66-16-2
Cilic M.
Altmaier D.
6-06-07-63
Baez S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-43-65-76-3
Fritz T.[9]
Royer V.
7-655-76-16-3
Zverev A.[3]
Diallo G.
6-716-16-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Navone M.
6-26-736-46-2
Nava E.
Jacquet K.
6-27-56-754-67-66
Shevchenko A.
Ymer E.
3-67-56-46-1
Kopriva V.
Struff J.
4-66-22-66-36-1
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.[24]
6-36-46-726-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Nakashima B.[27]
6-34-67-617-63
Norrie C.[26]
Bonzi B.
6-06-724-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[31]
Mochizuki S.
4-66-36-26-2
Tiafoe F.[29]
Kubler J.
7-646-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Fearnley J.
7-627-53-67-63
Zheng M.
Korda S.
6-46-43-66-706-3
Sonego L.
Taberner C.
6-46-06-3
Muller A.
Popyrin A.
2-66-33-67-657-64
Hurkacz H.
Bergs Z.
6-767-666-36-3
Dzumhur D.
Draxl L.
7-56-06-4
Wawrinka S.
Djere L.
5-76-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Nardi L.
7-54-66-46-2
Rublev A.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-26-3
Ruud C.[12]
Bellucci M.
6-16-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Zhang Z.
6-37-606-3
Comesana F.
Kypson P.
6-26-33-66-3
Thompson J.
Cerundolo J.
6-737-56-16-1
Shang J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-726-46-0
Paul T.[19]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-3
Jodar R.
Sakamoto R.
7-666-15-74-66-3
Medvedev D.[11]
De Jong J.
7-56-27-62
Tien L.[25]
Giron M.
7-624-63-67-636-2