Maks Kasnikowski vs Zsombor Piros — Brasov Semi-final
Kasnikowski M.
Maks Kasnikowski faces Zsombor Piros in the Brasov semi-final on clay. Zsombor Piros holds the paper edge — ranked #169, a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Piros Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Maks Kasnikowski 37 games in 14 days, Zsombor Piros 78.
- Under pressure: Zsombor Piros has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 53 vs Maks Kasnikowski's 13).
- Last match: Maks Kasnikowski dropped just 6 games past Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKasnikowski M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Piros Z.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.