Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milic — Brasov Round of 32
Maestrelli F.
Francesco Maestrelli faces Ognjen Milic in the Brasov round of 32 on clay. Francesco Maestrelli is the paper favourite — ranked #128, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage — but Ognjen Milic arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 5 on clay to Francesco Maestrelli's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Maestrelli F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Francesco Maestrelli 58 games in 14 days, Ognjen Milic 86.
- Surface form: Francesco Maestrelli 1 of 5, Ognjen Milic 2 of 5 on clay recently — Ognjen Milic the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMaestrelli F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Milic O.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.