Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen MilicBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#166ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$298kYTD
$882kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 1st on
#343ATP
1414ELO
1411Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWWW
Maestrelli F.
3-6 7-6 3-6
Milic O.
Maestrelli F.
3731
Milic O.
6662

Ognjen Milic defeated Francesco Maestrelli in the Round of 32 of the Brasov clay court tournament. Milic won 6-3, 6-7, 6-3. Milic had 8 aces and 2 double faults, while Maestrelli had 17 aces and 5 double faults; Milic converted 25% of break points and secured 2 service breaks to Maestrelli's 0.

Key context

  • Match story: Ognjen Milic closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
51%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Maestrelli F.87%
Milic O.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Maestrelli F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+100 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1367
7.0Overall Elo 1535
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1371
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.21 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.62 of last 6 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
76

Maestrelli F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Milic O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw