Stefan Palosi vs Denis Yevseyev — Brasov Round of 32
Palosi S.
Stefan Palosi faces Denis Yevseyev in the Brasov round of 32 on clay. Stefan Palosi is the paper favourite — ranked #411 — but Denis Yevseyev arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay to Stefan Palosi's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Stefan Palosi 30 games in 14 days, Denis Yevseyev 80.
- Surface form: Stefan Palosi 3 of 8, Denis Yevseyev 4 of 8 on clay recently — Denis Yevseyev the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadPalosi S.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Yevseyev D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.