Stefan Palosi vs Zsombor Piros — Brasov Round of 16

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

ROU

Stefan Palosi

#411ATP

1369ELO

1355Clay ELO

26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLWLWLWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 2 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

HUN

Zsombor Piros

#169ATP

1674ELO

1635Clay ELO

$145kYTD

$975kCAREER

26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLLWWLLL

Palosi S.

Piros Z.

Stefan Palosi faces Zsombor Piros in the Brasov round of 16 on clay. Zsombor Piros holds the paper edge — ranked #169, a roughly 280-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC

Palosi S.14%

Piros Z.86%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Piros Z. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Stefan Palosi comes in with 9 days of rest and 30 games in 14d, vs Zsombor Piros's 6 and 62.
Last match: Zsombor Piros dropped just 5 games past Radu Albot.
Last match: Stefan Palosi edged Denis Yevseyev in three tight sets (6–4 6–7 7–5).

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Palosi S.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Piros Z.

7.2

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

1.5Clay Elo 1355

Surface ELO

8.5+280 Clay Elo edge

1.2Overall Elo 1369

ELO gap

8.8Overall Elo 1674

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.04 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.34 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Palosi S.Cooling

Piros Z.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season

Palosi S.Piros Z.

1st serve in·Slight edge

71%

60%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

63%

70%

2nd serve points won·Even

53%

52%

Service points won·Even

60%

63%

Return points won·Even

41%

40%

Break points saved·Slight edge

58%

69%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.6

3.8

Double faults / match·Clear edge

1.2

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Palosi S.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Piros Z.

Piros Z.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Palosi S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Palosi S.Piros Z.

Freshness·Slight edge

Palosi S.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Piros Z.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather forecast

25°COvercast

Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.