Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud BaillyBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#208ATP
1511ELO
1490Clay ELO
25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
CENTRAL COURT · 3rd on
#230ATP
1476ELO
1438Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWL
Squire H.
6-3 3-6 6-4
Arnaud Bailly G.
Squire H.
6362
Arnaud Bailly G.
3641

Henri Squire defeated Gilles Arnaud Bailly 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Brasov tournament on clay. Squire hit 8 aces and 7 double faults, winning 73% of his first serves, while converting 33% of break points and securing 2 service breaks. Bailly had 3 aces, 2 double faults, a 69% first-serve win rate, a 50% break point conversion rate, and 1 service break.

Key context

  • Match story: Henri Squire closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-16M25 Koksijde 1SFclayGilles Arnaud Bailly5-7 7-5 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Squire H.53%
Arnaud Bailly G.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1454
5.3Overall Elo 1509
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1489
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
79

Squire H.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Arnaud Bailly G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
34°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw