Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco Roncadelli — Brasov Round of 32
Guillen Meza A.
Alvaro Guillen Meza faces Franco Roncadelli in the Brasov round of 32 on clay. Franco Roncadelli holds the paper edge — ranked #243, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Roncadelli F. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alvaro Guillen Meza comes in with 4 days of rest and 79 games in 14d, vs Franco Roncadelli's 6 and 38.
- Surface form: Alvaro Guillen Meza 2 of 9, Franco Roncadelli 5 of 9 on clay recently — Franco Roncadelli the sharper of late.
- Head-to-head: Franco Roncadelli leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Davis Cup WG1 PO: ECU vs URU 2025.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGuillen Meza A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Roncadelli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 | Davis Cup WG1 PO: ECU vs URU | RR | hard | Franco Roncadelli | 7-6(6) 6-0 |