Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco RoncadelliBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#283ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 3rd on
#237ATP
1495ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLL
Guillen Meza A.
6-4 2-6 4-6
Roncadelli F.
Guillen Meza A.
6241
Roncadelli F.
4662

Franco Roncadelli defeated Alvaro Guillen Meza in the Round of 32 of the Brasov tournament on clay, 4-6, 6-2, 6-4. Roncadelli hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, while Guillen Meza had 3 aces and 6 double faults. Roncadelli won 6 service breaks to Guillen Meza's 4.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-01Davis Cup WG1 PO: ECU vs URURRhardFranco Roncadelli7-6 6-0
2024-02-08M25 Punta del Este 1R16clayAlvaro Guillen Meza6-2 7-6(6)
2023-09-23M15 Punta del Este 1SFclayAlvaro Guillen Meza7-5 7-6(2)
2023-04-07M15 Santo Domingo de los Tsachilas 1QFclayFranco Roncadelli6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
19
41
Break points saved·Clear edge
43
19
Break points won·Clear edge
41
59
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
85
Tiebreaks·
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Guillen Meza A.40%
Roncadelli F.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Roncadelli F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1425
Surface ELO
5.6+52 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1451
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1493
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
3.03 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.16 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Guillen Meza A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Roncadelli F.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
33°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw