Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco RoncadelliSantos CH Semi-final

Santos CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#277ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 May 2025
clay
#238ATP
1495ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLWL
Guillen Meza A.
6-2 7-6
Roncadelli F.
Guillen Meza A.
6772
Roncadelli F.
2640

Alvaro Guillen Meza defeated Franco Roncadelli 6-2 7-6 in the Santos CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Franco Roncadelli came in ranked #238, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alvaro Guillen Meza claimed a first win over Franco Roncadelli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-01Davis Cup WG1 PO: ECU vs URURRhardFranco Roncadelli7-6(6) 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Guillen Meza A.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Roncadelli F.

Roncadelli F.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Guillen Meza A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
19
41
Break points saved·Clear edge
43
19
Break points won·Clear edge
41
59
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
85
Tiebreaks·
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1Clay Elo 1412
Surface ELO
3.9+67 Clay Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1495
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
91

Guillen Meza A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Roncadelli F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast