Andrej Nedic vs Franco RoncadelliBrasov Round of 16

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#250ATP
1492ELO
1483Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLLLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
clay
#245ATP
1493ELO
1477Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWLWW
Nedic A.
vs
Roncadelli F.

Andrej Nedic faces Franco Roncadelli in the Brasov round of 16 on clay. Franco Roncadelli holds the paper edge — ranked #245. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Nedic A.53%
Roncadelli F.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+6 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1477
5.0Overall Elo 1492
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1493
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nedic A.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Roncadelli F.

Roncadelli F.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Nedic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
68
94

Nedic A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 92 games (7d) · Roncadelli F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 62%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.