Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Zsombor PirosBrasov Quarter-final

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#427ATP
1448ELO
1412Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLWLL
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
clay
#169ATP
1674ELO
1635Clay ELO
$145kYTD
$975kCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLWWLL
Kuzmanov D.
vs
Piros Z.

Dimitar Kuzmanov faces Zsombor Piros in the Brasov quarter-final on clay. Zsombor Piros is the paper favourite — ranked #169, a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage — but Dimitar Kuzmanov arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay to Zsombor Piros's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Kuzmanov D.14%
Piros Z.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Piros Z. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1412
Surface ELO
7.8+223 Clay Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1448
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1674
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kuzmanov D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Piros Z.

Piros Z.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kuzmanov D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
61
84
Break points won·Even
31
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
25
32

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
85

Kuzmanov D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Piros Z.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CShowers
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 84%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.