Maks Kasnikowski vs Zsombor PirosBrasov Semi-final

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#234ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRAL COURT · 3rd on
#121ATP
1661ELO
1621Clay ELO
$192kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Kasnikowski M.
6-4 3-6 2-6
Piros Z.
Kasnikowski M.
6321
Piros Z.
4662

Zsombor Piros defeated Maks Kasnikowski in the semifinals of the Brasov tournament on clay, winning 4-6, 6-3, 6-2. Piros hit 8 aces to Kasnikowski's 3 and converted 75% of his break points, while Kasnikowski converted 25%. Piros won 3 service breaks to Kasnikowski's 1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-05M25 Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1R16clayZsombor Piros6-4 6-7(4) 7-6(3)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
71%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
14
0
Break points saved·Dominant
56
25
Break points won·Slight edge
16
11
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Kasnikowski M.25%
Piros Z.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Piros Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1416
Surface ELO
7.7+219 Clay Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1399
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
94

Kasnikowski M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Piros Z.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw