Ilia Simakin vs Dimitar KuzmanovBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#304ATP
1503ELO
1322Clay ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLLLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
#427ATP
1448ELO
1412Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWLLWL
Simakin I.
vs
Kuzmanov D.

Ilia Simakin faces Dimitar Kuzmanov in the Brasov round of 32 on clay. Ilia Simakin is the paper favourite — ranked #304 — but Dimitar Kuzmanov arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 9 on clay to Ilia Simakin's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Simakin I.45%
Kuzmanov D.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1322
Surface ELO
6.1+90 Clay Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1503
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1448
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.92 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Simakin I.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kuzmanov D.

Kuzmanov D.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Simakin I.

Serve advantage — Simakin I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
86

Simakin I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Kuzmanov D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CShowers
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.