Cezar Cretu vs Olle WallinBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#272ATP
1500ELO
1463Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
#447ATP
1300ELO
1289Clay ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
WWLLWLLWLL
Cretu C.
vs
Wallin O.

Cezar Cretu faces Olle Wallin in the Brasov round of 32 on clay. Cezar Cretu holds the paper edge — ranked #272, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Cretu C.85%
Wallin O.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cretu C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+174 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1289
7.5Overall Elo 1500
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1300
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Cretu C.Stable
Wallin O.Stableearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
52%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cretu C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Wallin O.

Wallin O.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Cretu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
71
71

Cretu C.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Wallin O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.