Olle Wallin vs Frederico Ferreira SilvaBrasov Round of 16

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#447ATP
1300ELO
1289Clay ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
WWWLLWLLLW
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
clay
#231ATP
1479ELO
1416Clay ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLLLLL
Wallin O.
vs
Ferreira Silva F.

Olle Wallin faces Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Brasov round of 16 on clay. Frederico Ferreira Silva is the paper favourite — ranked #231, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage — but Olle Wallin arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay to Frederico Ferreira Silva's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Wallin O.30%
Ferreira Silva F.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ferreira Silva F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1289
Surface ELO
6.6+127 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1300
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1479
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

1 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
39%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Wallin O.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Ferreira Silva F.

Ferreira Silva F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Wallin O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
62
89

Wallin O.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d) · Ferreira Silva F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.