Lautaro Midon vs Sascha Gueymard WayenburgBrasov Round of 16

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#193ATP
1526ELO
1508Clay ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRAL COURT · 1st on
#329ATP
1413ELO
1369Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
Midon L.
6-4 3-6 4-6
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
Midon L.
6341
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
4662

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg defeated Lautaro Midon 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Brasov clay court tournament. Gueymard Wayenburg hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, winning 80% of his first serves and converting 11% of break points. Midon recorded 5 aces and 1 double fault, winning 69% of his first serves and converting 20% of break points; both players earned one service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
37
10
Break points saved·Dominant
28
63
Break points won·Dominant
63
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
62
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
49
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Midon L.74%
Gueymard Wayenburg S.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Midon L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+148 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1373
6.5Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1415
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
68

Midon L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw