Lautaro Midon vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Brasov Round of 16
Midon L.
Lautaro Midon faces Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Brasov round of 16 on clay. Lautaro Midon holds the paper edge — a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Midon L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Lautaro Midon comes in with 8 days of rest and 29 games in 14d, vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg's 1 and 70.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Lautaro Midon has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 41 vs 10).
- Last match: Lautaro Midon dropped the opening set before beating Stefan Horia Haita 6–7 7–5 6–0.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMidon L.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Gueymard Wayenburg S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.