Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Maks KasnikowskiBrasov Quarter-final

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#329ATP
1413ELO
1369Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#234ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLW
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
4-6 2-6
Kasnikowski M.
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
420
Kasnikowski M.
662

Maks Kasnikowski defeated Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the quarterfinals of the Brasov tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-2. Kasnikowski hit one ace and no double faults, while Gueymard Wayenburg had nine aces and two double faults. Kasnikowski converted 30% of break points and won three service breaks to Gueymard Wayenburg's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
56%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
10
14
Break points saved·Slight edge
63
56
Break points won·Even
20
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
5
19
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
27
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Gueymard Wayenburg S.44%
Kasnikowski M.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1373
Surface ELO
5.5+43 Clay Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1415
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1399
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.03 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Kasnikowski M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw