Max Alcala Gurri vs Sascha Gueymard WayenburgBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#234ATP
1479ELO
1459Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
clay
#278ATP
1415ELO
1373Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLLLLW
Alcala Gurri M.
vs
Gueymard Wayenburg S.

Max Alcala Gurri faces Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Brasov round of 32 on clay. Max Alcala Gurri holds the paper edge — ranked #234, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Alcala Gurri M.72%
Gueymard Wayenburg S.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Alcala Gurri M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+86 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1373
5.8Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1415
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.88 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.02 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

8 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.3
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Alcala Gurri M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gueymard Wayenburg S.

Gueymard Wayenburg S.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Alcala Gurri M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
87

Alcala Gurri M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d) · Gueymard Wayenburg S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.