Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Max Alcala GurriTargu Mures Round of 16

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#329ATP
1413ELO
1369Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
clay
#176ATP
1581ELO
1564Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLL
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
2-6 5-7
Alcala Gurri M.
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
250
Alcala Gurri M.
672

Max Alcala Gurri defeated Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Round of 16 at the Targu Mures tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 7-5 in favor of Alcala Gurri. He secured 4 service breaks to Gueymard Wayenburg's 1, advancing him to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
0.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Gueymard Wayenburg S.32%
Alcala Gurri M.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Alcala Gurri M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1459
Surface ELO
6.3+104 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.22 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Alcala Gurri M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw