Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Max Alcala Gurri — Targu Mures Round of 16
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg faces Max Alcala Gurri in the Targu Mures round of 16 on clay. Max Alcala Gurri holds the paper edge — ranked #234, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Alcala Gurri M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg comes in with 1 days of rest and 38 games in 14d, vs Max Alcala Gurri's 3 and 125.
- Surface form: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 3 of 10, Max Alcala Gurri 9 of 10 on clay recently — Max Alcala Gurri the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Max Alcala Gurri arrives on a 6-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadGueymard Wayenburg S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Alcala Gurri M.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.