Andrej Nedic vs Max Alcala GurriTargu Mures Quarter-final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#277ATP
1492ELO
1483Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 3rd on
#234ATP
1479ELO
1459Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Nedic A.
6-2 6-4
Alcala Gurri M.
Nedic A.
662
Alcala Gurri M.
240

Andrej Nedic won eight games in a row to see off Max Alcala Gurri 6-2 6-4 in the Targu Mures quarter-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 1: Andrej Nedic broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 1: Andrej Nedic broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Andrej Nedic converted 5 of 8 break points; Max Alcala Gurri converted 2 of 4 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Nedic A.
Alcala Gurri M.
Break points won
5/8
2/4
Break points saved
2/4
3/8

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nedic A.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Alcala Gurri M.

Alcala Gurri M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Nedic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
77%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
0.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Nedic A.48%
Alcala Gurri M.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+24 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1459
5.2Overall Elo 1492
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1479
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
68
58

Nedic A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Alcala Gurri M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 110 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 40%