Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Andrade — Brasov Round of 32
Kasnikowski M.
Maks Kasnikowski faces Andres Andrade in the Brasov round of 32 on clay. Andres Andrade holds the paper edge — a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Andrade A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Andres Andrade has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 44 vs 12).
- Freshness: Maks Kasnikowski comes in with 11 days of rest and 50 games in 14d, vs Andres Andrade's 6 and 55.
- Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKasnikowski M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Andrade A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.