Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo HumbertLondon Round of 16

London · ATP · Round of 16
#68ATP
1843ELO
1654Grass ELO
$692kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
grass
#33ATP
1842ELO
1707Grass ELO
$940kYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWLW
Medjedovic H.
vs
Humbert U.

Hamad Medjedovic faces Ugo Humbert in the London round of 16 on grass. Ugo Humbert holds the paper edge — ranked #33, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Medjedovic H.39%
Humbert U.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Humbert U. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1654
Surface ELO
5.7+53 Grass Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1843
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1842
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.05 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
7.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Medjedovic H.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Medjedovic H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
69
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Even
39
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
77
Tiebreaks·Even
91
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
85

Medjedovic H.: 20 days rest · Humbert U.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10MarseilleFhardUgo Humbert7-6(4) 6-4