Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe — Tour Finals Round Robin
Why
Surface+227 Hard Elo edgeSupports Alcaraz C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2162Supports Alcaraz C.
Recent run10-match win streakSupports Alcaraz C.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Alcaraz C.
ELO2 446
Hard ELO2 238
Last 1010–0
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $65.0M2026 $4.4M
ELO2 106
Hard ELO1 953
Last 105–5
Age28
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $20.2M2026 $4.4M
Carlos Alcaraz faces Frances Tiafoe in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. Carlos Alcaraz holds the paper edge — ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's final.
Key context
- Freshness: Carlos Alcaraz comes in with 7 days of rest and 118 games in 14d, vs Frances Tiafoe's 11 and 29.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Carlos Alcaraz has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 98 vs 78).
- Win streak: Carlos Alcaraz arrives on a 10-match winning run.
Common opponents
14 shared · last 12 monthsAlcaraz C. and Tiafoe F. faced 14 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Alcaraz C. went 16–3 (84%) against them, Tiafoe F. 6–8 (43%). Alcaraz C. came out better against 7 of 14 comparable opponents, Tiafoe F. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).
16–384%Alcaraz C. · better vs 7Record vs common opponents6–843%Tiafoe F. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
38–14Sets19–20
312–234Games189–195
9–7Tiebreaks3–2
5–1Deciding sets1–1
vs Zverev A.#1W6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5Australian Open · hardL3-6 4-6Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs Sinner J.#2L6-7 3-6Monte Carlo Masters · clayL2-6 2-6Miami Masters · hard
vs Shelton B.#4L7-6(5) 1-6 3-6 6-1 6-7(7)US Open · hardL6-4 3-6 3-6 5-7US Open · hard
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vs Medvedev D.#5W6-4 7-6(2)Vienna · hardW7-6(1) 6-4 7-6(6)US Open · hard
vs De Minaur A.#9W7-5 6-2 6-1Australian Open · hardL3-6 4-6 5-7Australian Open · hard- vs Fritz T.#10W6-3 4-6 13-11Laver Cup - London · hardW6-4 6-4Halle · grass
vs Lehecka J.#15W7-6(4) 6-4Tokyo · hardL4-6Stuttgart · grass
vs Bublik A.#26W6-3 6-0Monte Carlo Masters · clayL6-4 6-7 6-7 6-4 3-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Vacherot V.#27W6-4 6-4Monte Carlo Masters · clayW6-4 6-2 6-4US Open · hard- vs Michelsen A.#35W7-6(1) 4-6 6-1Tokyo · hardW5-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 7-6(6)US Open · hard
- vs Arnaldi M.#38W7-6(6) 6-1Tokyo · hardL6-3 4-6Roland Garros · clay
vs Faria J.#57W4-6 6-0 6-3 6-2US Open · hardW4-6 6-1 6-2Roland Garros · clay
vs Rinderknech A.#58W6-7 6-3 6-2Indian Wells Masters · hardL2-6 0-2Montreal · hard- vs Hanfmann Y.#67W7-6 6-3 6-2Australian Open · hardW6-4 6-4Shanghai Masters · hard
Head-to-head
3 meetings · Alcaraz C. leads 2–121
Grass: Alcaraz C. leads 1–0 · Hard: Alcaraz C. leads 1–0 · Clay: Tiafoe F. leads 1–0
- Alcaraz C.July 2024WimbledonGrass5-7 6-2 4-6 7-6 6-2
- Alcaraz C.August 2022US OpenHard6-7 6-3 6-1 6-7 6-3
- Tiafoe F.April 2021BarcelonaClay6-4 7-6
Evidence
Alcaraz C.Tiafoe F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss10–0 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate88% (43–6) (ahead)68% (44–21)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2446 (ahead)2106
Hard-court ELO2238 (ahead)1953
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 65 matches
1st-serve points won73%75% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)36%
Aces / match4.76.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 47 vs 65 matches
Break points saved67% (ahead)65%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe — Tour Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/alcaraz-vs-tiafoe-tour-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).