Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo ArnaldiRoland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 16
#17ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 3
Sets
Monday, 1 June 2026 ·
clay
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Tiafoe F.
6-3 4-6
Arnaldi M.
Tiafoe F.
642
Arnaldi M.
363

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Frances Tiafoe 3-6 6-4 in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #17, defending last year's quarter-final. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 7-5
2024-07-01WimbledonR128grassFrances Tiafoe6-7 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
54
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Clear edge
39
17
Deciding sets·Clear edge
84
67
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
57

Tiafoe F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw