Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi — Roland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 16
USA
Frances Tiafoe
#22ATP
1866ELO
1791Clay ELO
$980kYTD
$17MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWLWW
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Sets
Monday, 1 June 2026 ·
clay
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#104ATP
1763ELO
1756Clay ELO
$302kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWWWW

Frances Tiafoe faces Matteo Arnaldi in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay. Frances Tiafoe is the paper favourite — ranked #22, defending last year's quarter-final, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage — but Matteo Arnaldi arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on clay to Frances Tiafoe's 7. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Matteo Arnaldi ahead 1–0 on clay.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tiafoe F.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Arnaldi M.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1756
6.3Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1763
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
5.0Won 50% in FRA (34)
Country comfort
Context
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
2.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
0.68
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 7-5
2024-07-01WimbledonR128grassFrances Tiafoe6-7(5) 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Tiafoe F.Arnaldi M.
62%1st serve in+6%56%
73%1st serve points won+7%66%
54%2nd serve points won+5%49%
66%Service points won+7%59%
35%Return points won+4%39%
65%Break points saved+5%60%
6.2Aces / match+1.94.3
1.4Double faults / match+34.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Tabur C.
6-16-36-4
Fearnley J.
Cerundolo J.
2-66-706-77
Landaluce M.
Prado Angelo J.
6-34-66-26-736-4
Kopriva V.
Moutet C.
6-35-76-43-66-3
Rinderknech A.
Rodionov J.
7-656-26-3
Fucsovics M.
Berrettini M.
7-625-71-62-6
Quinn E.
Comesana F.
4-66-786-74
Ofner S.
Darderi L.
6-752-63-6
Bublik A.
Struff J.
5-77-664-65-7
Faria J.
Shapovalov D.
6-47-56-4
Munar J.
Hurkacz H.
3-63-66-23-6
Spizzirri E.
Tiafoe F.
3-67-654-63-6
Griekspoor T.
Arnaldi M.
7-693-66-763-6
Muller A.
Tsitsipas S.
2-60-3
Collignon R.
Vukic A.
6-36-37-64
Merida Aguilar D.
Shelton B.
3-63-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Altmaier D.
4-66-44-66-17-67
Baez S.
Burruchaga R.
6-25-72-60-2
Van Assche L.
Gaubas V.
6-46-22-67-5
Bautista Agut R.
Nakashima B.
2-65-72-6
Norrie C.
Vallejo A.
6-770-2
Cilic M.
Kouame M.
6-742-61-6
Tabilo A.
Majchrzak K.
6-16-36-4
Faurel T.
Vacherot V.
3-64-66-36-76
Cobolli F.
Pellegrino A.
6-47-646-3
Wu Y.
Giron M.
7-56-26-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Zhang Z.
6-16-46-3
Garin C.
Tien L.
0-66-20-62-6
Cerundolo F.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-46-776-4
Gaston H.
Monfils G.
6-26-33-62-66-0
Popyrin A.
Svajda Z.
6-33-66-735-7
Walton A.
Medvedev D.
6-21-66-11-66-4
De Minaur A.
Samuel T.
6-46-46-2
Blockx A.
Wong C.
6-36-46-2
Navone M.
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Droguet T.
Mensik J.
3-62-64-6
Etcheverry T.
Borges N.
3-64-62-6
Kecmanovic M.
Marozsan F.
7-606-36-4
Nava E.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-7103-63-6
Buse I.
Rublev A.
3-67-663-65-7
Ruud C.
Safiullin R.
6-27-655-70-66-2
Medjedovic H.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-46-716-4
Sonego L.
Herbert P.
7-635-76-21-66-4
Hijikata R.
Paul T.
6-43-65-74-6
Fonseca J.
Pavlovic L.
7-666-46-2
Zheng M.
Prizmic D.
1-61-63-6
Dellien H.
Royer V.
4-62-62-6
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Djokovic N.
7-55-71-64-6
Fritz T.
Basavareddy N.
6-756-757-691-6
Shevchenko A.
Michelsen A.
2-64-62-6
Duckworth J.
Diallo G.
6-34-1
Kovacevic A.
Jodar R.
1-60-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-32-67-56-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Tirante T.
3-66-767-650-6
Kokkinakis T.
Atmane T.
6-756-24-66-37-5
Carreno Busta P.
Lehecka J.
6-37-636-3
Khachanov K.
Gea A.
6-37-636-0
Jacquet K.
Trungelliti M.
4-62-62-6
Cina F.
Opelka R.
3-66-46-26-766-4
Wawrinka S.
De Jong J.
3-66-33-64-6
Humbert U.
Mannarino A.
6-36-46-3
Halys Q.
Bellucci M.
6-37-646-3
Machac T.
Bergs Z.
6-46-46-3
Bonzi B.
Zverev A.
3-64-62-6
Sinner J.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-25-71-61-6
Landaluce M.
Kopriva V.
1-62-66-47-56-0
Rinderknech A.
Berrettini M.
4-64-64-6
Comesana F.
Darderi L.
7-654-66-42-66-4
Struff J.
Faria J.
5-76-712-6
Hurkacz H.
Tiafoe F.
7-656-754-67-614-6
Arnaldi M.
Tsitsipas S.
7-625-76-36-2
Collignon R.
Shelton B.
6-47-56-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Burruchaga R.
4-66-07-56-1
Van Assche L.
Nakashima B.
7-654-67-51-63-6
Vallejo A.
Kouame M.
3-65-76-36-26-78
Tabilo A.
Vacherot V.
Cobolli F.
Wu Y.
6-46-46-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Tien L.
5-76-46-36-743-6
Cerundolo F.
Gaston H.
2-66-46-26-1
Svajda Z.
Walton A.
6-36-46-746-2
De Minaur A.
Blockx A.
Navone M.
Mensik J.
3-66-24-66-16-711
Borges N.
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-26-16-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Rublev A.
1-66-13-66-75
Ruud C.
Medjedovic H.
6-36-26-4
Sonego L.
Paul T.
3-62-64-6
Fonseca J.
Prizmic D.
3-64-66-36-16-2
Royer V.
Djokovic N.
3-62-67-673-6
Basavareddy N.
Michelsen A.
6-753-66-33-6
Duckworth J.
Jodar R.
1-67-654-65-7
Davidovich Fokina A.
Tirante T.
6-46-741-63-6
Kokkinakis T.
Carreno Busta P.
5-76-40-1
Khachanov K.
Trungelliti M.
7-655-76-17-64
Cina F.
De Jong J.
3-61-63-6
Humbert U.
Halys Q.
4-66-746-78
Machac T.
Zverev A.
4-62-62-6
Cerundolo J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-777-646-747-68
Berrettini M.
Comesana F.
7-635-76-746-47-613
Faria J.
Tiafoe F.
6-47-626-741-62-6
Arnaldi M.
Collignon R.
6-46-755-76-47-64
Auger Aliassime F.
Nakashima B.
5-76-17-647-61
Kouame M.
Tabilo A.
6-43-64-66-79
Cobolli F.
Tien L.
6-26-26-3
Cerundolo F.
Svajda Z.
3-64-66-36-43-6
De Minaur A.
Mensik J.
6-02-62-63-6
Borges N.
Rublev A.
5-76-726-72
Ruud C.
Paul T.
4-66-746-47-647-5
Fonseca J.
Djokovic N.
4-64-66-37-57-5
Michelsen A.
Jodar R.
6-727-656-43-63-6
Tirante T.
Carreno Busta P.
6-705-76-34-6
Khachanov K.
De Jong J.
5-77-52-67-622-6
Halys Q.
Zverev A.
4-63-67-52-6
Cerundolo J.
Berrettini M.
Tiafoe F.
Arnaldi M.
Auger Aliassime F.
Tabilo A.
Cobolli F.
Svajda Z.
Mensik J.
Rublev A.
Ruud C.
Fonseca J.
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
4-2
De Jong J.
Zverev A.
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