Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo ArnaldiWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#19ATP
1918ELO
1823Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024
grass
#35ATP
1830ELO
1630Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Tiafoe F.
6-7 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3
Arnaldi M.
Tiafoe F.
6526663
Arnaldi M.
7761332

Frances Tiafoe defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-7 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, defending last year's round of 32. Frances Tiafoe claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-01Roland GarrosR16clayMatteo Arnaldi6.5-7.7 7.7-6.5 6-3 6.3-7.7 4-6
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.8
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
57
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
86
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+193 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Grass Elo 1630
6.9Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.1
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
94

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%
R128
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Searle H.
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Seyboth Wild T.
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Dimitrov G.
Lajovic D.
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Muller A.
Gaston H.
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Paul T.[21]
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Norrie C.[26]
Diaz Acosta F.[12]
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Munar J.
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Nakashima B.[28]
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Virtanen O.
Purcell M.
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Bublik A.[10]
Mensik J.[15]
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Marozsan F.
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Coric B.
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Tiafoe F.[17]
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-752-66-16-36-3
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6-24-66-36-2
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6-16-37-5
Walton A.
Coria F.
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5-76-46-726-36-2
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3-63-66-46-17-65
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3-66-36-34-66-3
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7-637-56-2
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6-43-67-56-4
Pouille L.
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3-67-643-66-36-1
Halys Q.
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6-46-46-2
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Nardi L.
6-16-46-2
Popyrin A.
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6-46-786-36-4
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Galan D.
7-636-36-4
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6-36-23-66-4