
Matteo Arnaldi defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 7-5 in the Madrid Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #12, defending last year's round of 64. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 2–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 4-6 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | R128 | grass | Frances Tiafoe | 6-7 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Arnaldi M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 153 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About