Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz — US Open Quarter-final

US Open · ATP · Quarter-final
Ben Shelton
USA8
Ben Shelton
#9ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
3 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP2
Carlos Alcaraz
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Shelton B.
6-7 6-1 6-3 1-6 7-6
Alcaraz C.
Shelton B.
6566173
Alcaraz C.
7713662

Ben Shelton defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the quarterfinals of the US Open, 6-7, 6-1, 6-3, 1-6, 7-6. Shelton hit 7 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Alcaraz had 3 aces and 7 double faults. Shelton converted 31% of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Alcaraz's 3.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Alcaraz returns to Grand Slam quarterfinals after five months away with wrist injury, maintaining perfect 13-0 record against American opponents at majors.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Alcaraz C.tennismajors.com ↗

  • Alcaraz has made an impressive comeback from four months out with injury, progressing straightforwardly to the quarter-finals in his return at the US Open.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Alcaraz C.Tennishead ↗

  • Shelton faces Alcaraz in the quarter-final after Alcaraz's dominant return from injury.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Shelton B.National Bank Open ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR16clayCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-3 4-6 6-4
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Shelton B.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
60%
57%
Service points won·Even
71%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.7
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shelton B.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
97
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
47
98
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Shelton B.15%
Alcaraz C.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Alcaraz C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shelton B.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Alcaraz C.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1922
Surface ELO
7.1+167 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 2162
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
9.09 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shelton B.Alcaraz C.
Freshness·Clear edge
53
68

Shelton B.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 118 games (7d) · Alcaraz C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw