Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton — Montreal Round of 16
BRA22
USA5
Fonseca J.
Joao Fonseca faces Ben Shelton in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Shelton B. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Joao Fonseca 47 games in 14 days, Ben Shelton 132.
- Serve & return: Ben Shelton leads on Serve Rating (82), Joao Fonseca on Return Rating (44).
- Last match: Ben Shelton dropped just 5 games past Zizou Bergs.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFonseca J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | QF | clay | Ben Shelton | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |