Carlos Alcaraz vs Zizou Bergs — Tokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
Zizou Bergs
BEL
Zizou Bergs
#35ATP
1808ELO
1757Hard ELO
$995kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-3
Bergs Z.
Alcaraz C.
662
Bergs Z.
430

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Zizou Bergs 6-4 6-3 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Bergs Z.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Bergs Z.
74
Serve
25
95
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Alcaraz C.Bergs Z.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alcaraz C.Bergs Z.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
95
Break points won·Dominant
99
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alcaraz C.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Bergs Z.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+332 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1757
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1808
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Alcaraz C.Bergs Z.
Freshness·
—
79

Bergs Z.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fritz T.[2]
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Fritz T.[2]
Brooksby J.
6-46-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Ruud C.[4]
3-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Brooksby J.
Rune H.[3]
6-36-3
Ruud C.[4]
Vukic A.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Nakashima B.
6-26-4
Fritz T.[2]
Korda S.
6-36-756-3
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Bergs Z.
6-46-3
Korda S.
Shimabukuro S.
6-16-4
Fritz T.[2]
Borges N.
7-57-64
Vukic A.
Altmaier D.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[4]
Berrettini M.
7-646-2
Nakashima B.
Fucsovics M.
7-56-3
Rune H.[3]
Quinn E.
6-46-2
Brooksby J.
Darderi L.
7-676-1
R32
Fucsovics M.
Tiafoe F.[8]
3-66-17-5
Fritz T.[2]
Diallo G.
4-66-37-63
Borges N.
Watanuki Y.
2-66-46-1
Rune H.[3]
Medjedovic H.
7-676-1
Altmaier D.
Shapovalov D.[7]
7-56-3
Vukic A.
Dzumhur D.
6-43-66-3
Quinn E.
Michelsen A.
7-56-2
Shimabukuro S.
Machac T.[5]
6-37-64
Bergs Z.
Tabilo A.
1-67-627-64
Korda S.
Giron M.
4-66-37-64
Nakashima B.
Thompson J.
6-767-646-2
Berrettini M.
Munar J.
6-46-2
Brooksby J.
Humbert U.[6]
7-646-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Baez S.
6-46-2
Darderi L.
Nishioka Y.
7-696-3
Ruud C.[4]
Mochizuki S.
4-66-16-1