Ben Shelton vs Taylor FritzStuttgart Final

Stuttgart · ATP · Final
#5ATP
1938ELO
1785Grass ELO
$1.8MYTD
$13MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#9ATP
1868ELO
1808Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$30MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Ben Shelton faces Taylor Fritz in the Stuttgart final on grass. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC
Shelton B.58%
Fritz T.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shelton B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1785
Surface ELO
5.3+24 Grass Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1938
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1868
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.09 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasFhardBen Shelton3-6 6-3 7-5
2025-07-27Canada MastersSFhardBen Shelton6-4 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz4-6 6-4 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
66%1st serve in+3%69%
78%1st serve points won+2%80%
60%2nd serve points won+9%51%
72%Service points won+1%71%
31%Return points won+2%33%
77%Break points saved+9%68%
12.1Aces / match+3.815.9
2.8Double faults / match+1.21.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.