Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton — Montreal Round of 32
BEL31
USA5
Bergs Z.
Zizou Bergs faces Ben Shelton in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Zizou Bergs comes in with 9 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Ben Shelton's 4 and 94.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Ben Shelton grades 80 on serve, Zizou Bergs 51 on return.
- Last match: Zizou Bergs dropped the opening set before beating Sebastian Baez 3–6 6–3 6–2.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBergs Z.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Shelton B.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-01 | Houston | R16 | clay | Ben Shelton | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |