Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger AliassimeTour Finals Semi-final

Tour Finals · ATP · Semi-final
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 9 November 2025
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Alcaraz C.
6-2 6-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Alcaraz C.
662
Auger Aliassime F.
240

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 6-2 6-4 in the Tour Finals semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round-robin. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-1
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-3 6-1
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2022-10-24BaselSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-2
2022-09-16Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs CANRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-7(3) 6-4 6-2
2021-08-30US OpenQFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 3-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Auger Aliassime F.
74
Serve
74
95
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
10.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
84
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
99
50
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1932
8.6Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1958
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
8.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
2.1
7.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
64

Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast