Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger AliassimeIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Alcaraz C.
662
Auger Aliassime F.
440

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's semi-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-1
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-3 6-1
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3
2022-10-24BaselSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-2
2022-09-16Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs CANRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-7(3) 6-4 6-2
2021-08-30US OpenQFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 3-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Auger Aliassime F.
74
Serve
74
95
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.1
9.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
84
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
99
50
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1932
8.6Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1958
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
6.7
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
3.3
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.6
6.0
Surface transition
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
53

Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%