Felix Auger Aliassime vs Carlos AlcarazDavis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs CAN Round Robin

Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs CAN · ATP · Round Robin
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 16 September 2022
hard
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Auger Aliassime F.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Alcaraz C.
Auger Aliassime F.
63662
Alcaraz C.
77421

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs CAN round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2. Felix Auger Aliassime narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

25
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-1
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-3 6-1
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2022-10-24BaselSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-2
2021-08-30US OpenQFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 3-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Alcaraz C.
74
Serve
74
44
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
57%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
5.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
84
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
50
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 32 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1932
Surface ELO
8.2+156 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 2162
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About