Valentin Vacherot vs Frances TiafoeUS Open Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Round of 32
#23ATP
1903ELO
1852Hard ELO
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWLL
0 — 3
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 ·
hard
Louis Armstrong Stadium · 4th on
#12ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
Vacherot V.
4-6 2-6 4-6
Tiafoe F.
Vacherot V.
4240
Tiafoe F.
6663

Frances Tiafoe defeated Valentin Vacherot in the Round of 32 at the US Open, winning in straight sets 6-4, 6-2, 6-4. Tiafoe converted 43% of his break points and secured three service breaks, while Vacherot was unable to capitalize on any of his break point opportunities. Tiafoe served four aces to Vacherot's 10 and made two double faults to Vacherot's four.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Frances Tiafoe closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–2 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
69%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.2
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
69
75
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Clear edge
33
45
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Vacherot V.42%
Tiafoe F.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tiafoe F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1852
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1903
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1918
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
73
35

Vacherot V.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 69 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 153 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw