Martin Damm vs Frances TiafoeUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#90ATP
1706ELO
1657Hard ELO
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
2 — 3
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
#12ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
Damm M.
4-6 6-4 6-3 3-6 4-6
Tiafoe F.
Damm M.
466342
Tiafoe F.
643663

Frances Tiafoe defeated Martin Damm in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. Tiafoe served 12 aces and committed 6 double faults, while Damm had 28 aces and 11 double faults; both players converted 33% of break points, with Tiafoe securing 3 service breaks to Damm's 2.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Frances Tiafoe closed it out in five sets, 6–4 4–6 3–6 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 7-5 6-7 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
32%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.6
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
75
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Dominant
1
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Damm M.31%
Tiafoe F.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tiafoe F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1657
Surface ELO
7.6+205 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1918
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
84
35

Damm M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 153 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw