Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherot — Gstaad Round of 16
Hanfmann Y.
Yannick Hanfmann faces Valentin Vacherot in the Gstaad round of 16 on clay. Valentin Vacherot holds the paper edge — ranked #21, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Vacherot V. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Valentin Vacherot brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 59), Yannick Hanfmann the stronger return game (Return Rating 42).
- Fatigue load: Yannick Hanfmann carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadHanfmann Y.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.