Jannik Sinner vs Carlos AlcarazMonte Carlo Masters Final

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 5 April 2026
clay
#3ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Sinner J.
7-6 6-3
Alcaraz C.
Sinner J.
7762
Alcaraz C.
6530

Jannik Sinner defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6 6-3 in the Monte Carlo Masters final on clay. Jannik Sinner narrowed the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

610
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz5-0 RET
2025-06-30WimbledonFgrassJannik Sinner4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2025-05-07Rome MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-1
2024-09-26BeijingFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosSFclayCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz1-6 6-3 6-2
2023-09-27BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-1
2023-03-20Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(4) 6-3
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(7) 6-7(0) 7-5 6-3
2022-07-25UmagFclayJannik Sinner6-7(5) 6-1 6-1
2022-06-27WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(1) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Alcaraz C.
99
Serve
91
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
59%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
76%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
100
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+114 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 2102
5.7Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
9.2
Surface form
10.0
10.014-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
43

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Alcaraz C.[1]
7-656-3